Emily Parks, M.Sc. Candidate
Polar bears and sea ice in a changing climate: How do variations in sea ice affect
polar bear habitat selection on Hudson Bay?
Polar bears (Ursus maritimus) inhabit the ice-covered waters of the circumpolar
  Arctic, particularly near active annual ice where productivity is higher and
  their primary prey, ringed (Phoca hispida) and bearded seals (Erignathus barbatus),
  are more densely distributed.1,2 Polar bears are a long-lived species with delayed
  maturation and low rates of reproduction, which make them particularly sensitive
  to disturbances in their habitat or prey.3 
    
Large adult male captured during population inventory studies
Climate change is one of the key disturbances
for species dependent on ice,4 and there is increasing evidence that
ice extent, concentration, thickness, and ice season duration have all declined
significantly since the 1960s.5 Polar bears living at more southern
latitudes, such as those in the Hudson Bay region, may be affected sooner and
more severely by these changes.
 The bears of western
  Hudson Bay live and hunt on the sea ice from November to July, and are forced
  ashore each summer as the ice melts. They tend to show strong site fidelity
  when returning to land and while off the ice they survive almost entirely on
  their fat reserves.6 The ice season in Hudson Bay has become shorter over the
  last three decades, meaning there is less time for polar bears to hunt and accumulate
  fat, and this has resulted in bears coming off the ice in poorer condition.7
  As ice continues to change in Hudson Bay, it is important to understand how
  polar bears may be affected.  
    
Flying over a stretch of sea ice showing cracks and ridges
 There are two factors that
  make Hudson Bay unique as a habitat for polar bears: 1. It is an inland sea,
  almost entirely enclosed by land unlike most of the Arctic, and 2. it becomes
  ice-free each summer, so that bears are forced back to land, and this means
  that near break-up, bears may be balancing foraging needs with the need to move
  toward shore. The goal of my research is to quantify the relationship between
  variations in sea ice and polar bear distribution in western Hudson Bay.
 I have three main research
  questions. 1. Are the seasonal home range sizes, movement rates, and mean directions
  of movement of polar bears on the ice of Hudson Bay related to sea ice characteristics?
  How do these space-use strategies of Hudson Bay polar bears compare to those
  of bears in other Arctic populations? 2. How do variations in several habitat
  characteristics such as ice concentration and stage of development, floe size,
  and bathymetry influence polar bear habitat selection on Hudson Bay? How does
  polar bear habitat selection in Hudson Bay compare to habitat selection in other
  Arctic regions? 3. Have movement patterns or habitat selection changed over
  the past decade?
 I will address these questions
  using data from bears fitted with satellite collars between 1991 and 1998 combined
  with new data from bears collared in September 2004. I will analyse the location
  data along with data on ice conditions from the years of interest in a Geographic
  Information System (GIS). Advances in both GPS-satellite collar technology and
  GIS technology make it possible to look in detail at what bears are doing out
  on the ice. 
    
    Adult female
      bear from the western Hudson Bay population newly fitted with a GPS-satellite
      collar that will provide 6 locations per day
 The results of this study
  will help us better understand how polar bears in Hudson Bay are affected by
  variations in ice condition, and how these bears may differ from high Arctic
  bears in their habitat selection strategies. This can provide insight into what
  drives polar bear movement patterns and distribution. In addition, models of
  habitat selection will allow researchers to predict polar bear distribution
  on the Bay given specific ice conditions, which will help researchers predict
  how the local ecosystem may be altered as the global climate changes.
 Literature cited: 
 1. Lunn NJ, Schliebe S,
  Born EW. (comps. and eds.) 2002. Polar Bears: Proceedings of the 13th Working
  Meeting of the IUCN/SSC Polar Bear Specialist Group, Nuuk, Greenland. IUCN,
  Gland, Switzerland and Cambridge, UK.
  2. Smith TG. 1980. Polar bear predation of ringed and bearded seals in the land-fast
  sea ice habitat. Can. J. Zool. 58:2201-2209.
  3. Ramsay MA, Stirling I. 1988. Reproductive biology and ecology of female polar
  bears (Ursus maritimus). J. Zool. 214:601-634.
  4. Stirling I, Derocher AE. 1993. Possible impacts of climatic warming on polar
  bears. Arctic 46: 240-245.
  5. Parkinson CL, Cavalieri DJ, Gloersen P, Zwally HJ, Comiso J. 1999. Arctic
  sea ice extents, areas, and trends, 1978-1996. J. Geophys. Res. 104:20837-20856.
  6. Stirling I, Jonkel C, Smith P, Robertson R, Cross D. 1977. The ecology of
  the polar bear (Ursus maritimus) along the western coast of Hudson Bay. Can.
  Wildl. Serv. Occas. Paper No. 33.
  7. Stirling I, Lunn NJ, Iacozza J. 1999. Long-term trends in the population
  ecology of polar bears in western Hudson Bay. Arctic 52:294-306.